【主题】Tracking Under-Reported Financial Flows: China's Development Finance and the Aid-Conflict Nexus Revisited

【报告人】Andreas Fuchs，2012年获德国哥廷根大学（University of Goettingen）经济学博士，现为德国海德伯格大学（Heidelberg University）博士后研究员。主要从事国际政治经济学、发展经济学、国际贸易和中国的政治经济学等研究。研究成果已经发表在世界一流期刊，如Journal of International Economics, Canadian Journal of Economics, World Development, World Economy等。

【时间】2014年9月3日（周三）下午3:00-4:30

【地点】中央财经大学中财大厦1032室（国贸学院会议室）

【论文摘要】China’s development finance is sizable but reliable information is scarce. To address critical information gaps, we introduce a new open source methodology for collecting project-level development finance information and create a database of Chinese official finance to Africa from 2000-2011. Our initial data collection efforts found that China’s official finance commitments amount to approximately US$ 73 billion over the 2000-2011 period. We provide details on 1,511 non-investment projects to 50 African countries. We use this database to extend previous research on the aid-conflict nexus. Our results show that sudden withdrawals of “traditional” aid are only more likely to induce conflict in the absence of sufficient alternative funding from China. More broadly, these findings highlight the importance of gathering better data on the development activities of China and other non-traditional donors to better understand the link between foreign aid and conflict.